Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/20/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Logan Webb o5.5 Strikeouts (-120) Fanduel
Logan Webb has been a valuable player for the Giants this season, boasting a 26% strikeout rate. On average, he has faced batters with a 24% strikeout rate. Consistency has been key for Webb, who averages 6.44 strikeouts per start. Based on his track record, we estimate he could rack up around 6.6 strikeouts in his next game against the Miami Marlins. The betting line for Webb is set at 5.5 strikeouts with odds of -120. Given his consistent performance and his ability to outperform expectations, it’s quite likely that Webb will exceed this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Braxton Garrett o4.5 Strikeouts (-112) Fanduel
On the other side of the game, we have Braxton Garrett pitching for the Miami Marlins. Garrett brings to the mound a 23% strikeout rate, and he’s faced opponents with a slightly higher average strikeout rate of 26%. Over the course of the season, Garrett has averaged 5.14 strikeouts per start. Based on these statistics, we project he might achieve around 5.6 strikeouts in his upcoming game. The betting line for Garrett’s strikeouts is 4.5 with odds of -112. Given his previous performance and ability to generate strikeouts, Garrett stands a good chance of exceeding his line.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Logan Webb and Braxton Garrett emerge as strong considerations for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Both pitchers are consistent performers, as indicated by Webb’s 26% strikeout rate and Garrett’s 23% rate. Given this, it’s highly likely that they could exceed their respective betting lines. If you’re looking for reliable pitchers who are likely to deliver high strikeout counts, then Webb and Garrett should be on your radar.