Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/18/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Nestor Cortes o4.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
First up, let’s take a look at Nestor Cortes, who’s been showing off his skills on the mound for the New York Yankees. This guy has a pretty solid strikeout rate, a cool 26%, and he’s been up against batters with an average strikeout rate of 22%. Now, consistency is key in this game, and Cortes has that in spades, averaging about 5.25 strikeouts every time he starts. The word on the street is that he’s on track to knock out around 6.0 strikeouts in his next showdown against the Toronto Blue Jays. The line is drawn at 4.5 with odds sitting at -106. So, given his track record, there’s a pretty decent chance he’ll come out swinging and beat this line.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Tyler Wells o5.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
Next on deck, we have Tyler Wells, who’s been throwing fastballs for the Baltimore Orioles. Wells steps up to his games with a 24% strikeout rate, while his next adversaries, the Los Angeles Angels, tend to average a strikeout rate of 22%. Wells has been doing a standout job, notching up an average of 5.57 strikeouts per start. He’s looking like he’ll rack up about 6.2 strikeouts in his upcoming game. The line is marked at 5.5 with odds of -106, and given his strong and steady strikeout rate, he’s looking like a solid bet to beat this line.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In summary, Nestor Cortes and Tyler Wells are noteworthy picks for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Given Cortes’s steady 26% strikeout rate and Wells’s consistent 24% rate, both are expected to surpass their respective lines of 4.5 at -106 and 5.5 at -106 odds. If high strikeout counts are what you’re after, Cortes and Wells are definitely the pitchers to watch today.
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