Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/16/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Domingo German o4.5 Strikeouts (-140) Fanduel
First off, we have Domingo German from the New York Yankees. German has been consistently delivering a commendable strikeout rate of 29%. He’s up against the Toronto Blue Jays, who have an average strikeout rate of 23%. German has managed to maintain an average of 5.88 strikeouts per start, and projections suggest about 6.5 strikeouts for this game. Given his strong performance, there’s a high chance he’ll surpass his 4.5 line at -140 odds.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Bailey Ober o4.5 Strikeouts (-154) Fanduel
Next up is Bailey Ober, pitching for the Minnesota Twins. Ober has been holding a steady strikeout rate of 26%. He’ll be facing the Los Angeles Dodgers, a team with an average strikeout rate of 23%. He’s maintained an average of 5.50 strikeouts per start, with predictions indicating about 5.9 strikeouts for this game. Ober’s current form suggests he could very well exceed his 4.5 line at -154 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To conclude, Domingo German and Bailey Ober stand out as strong picks for today’s MLB strikeout prop bets. With German’s impressive 29% strikeout rate and Ober’s solid 26% rate, both pitchers are expected to outperform their respective lines of 4.5 at -140 and -154 odds. If you’re keeping an eye out for high strikeout counts, German and Ober are definitely the pitchers to watch today.