Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/15/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Patrick Corbin o3.5 Strikeouts (-146) Fanduel
Patrick Corbin, pitching for the Washington Nationals, has been posting a consistent strikeout rate of about 16%. In his game against the New York Mets – a team with an average strikeout rate of 20% – Corbin is well-positioned to deliver a strong performance. He’s been maintaining an average of 3.75 strikeouts per start, with projections indicating about 4.6 strikeouts in this game. With these numbers in mind, Corbin is likely to go beyond his 3.5 line at -146 odds.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Freddy Peraltan o5.5 Strikeouts (-122) Fanduel
Next up is Freddy Peralta from the Milwaukee Brewers. Peralta has been showcasing a remarkable strikeout rate of approximately 30%. He’s facing the St. Louis Cardinals tonight, a team with an average strikeout rate of 19%. Peralta has been averaging around 6.57 strikeouts per start, with projections estimating about 5.8 strikeouts for this game. Given his impressive record, it’s very possible he will surpass his 5.5 line at -122 odds.
Want More? Daily Picks, Tools, Models, & Discord RIGHT HERE!
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To sum up, in today’s MLB games, Patrick Corbin and Freddy Peralta stand out as compelling picks for strikeout prop bets. With Corbin’s consistent 16% strikeout rate and Peralta’s impressive 30% rate, both pitchers are expected to exceed their respective 3.5 and 5.5 lines at -146 and -122 odds. So, if you’re on the lookout for high strikeout counts, Corbin and Peralta are the pitchers to watch today.