Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/14/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Mitch Keller o4.5 Strikeouts (-150) Fanduel
Mitch Keller of the Pittsburgh Pirates is first up. Keller has been demonstrating a solid strikeout rate of roughly 30% this season. Facing off against the Baltimore Orioles – a team with a 22% average strikeout rate – Keller is primed to perform well. He’s been averaging seven strikeouts per start and is projected to achieve approximately 6.5 strikeouts in this game. With these numbers, Keller is quite likely to surpass his 4.5 line at -150 odds.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Zach Eflin o4.5 Strikeouts (-106) Fanduel
Next, we turn our attention to Zach Eflin from the Tampa Bay Rays. Eflin is performing with a commendable strikeout rate of approximately 27%. He’s up against the New York Yankees tonight, a team with a slightly lower average strikeout rate of 21%. Eflin has been averaging about 5.83 strikeouts per start, projecting to around 6.3 strikeouts for this game. Given his record, it’s quite feasible that he will exceed his 4.5 line at -106 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To wrap up, tonight’s MLB games showcase Mitch Keller and Zach Eflin as promising picks for strikeout prop bets. Given Keller’s approximately 30% strikeout rate and Eflin’s roughly 27% rate, both pitchers are expected to surpass their respective 4.5 lines at -150 and -106 odds. Hence, if you’re seeking high strikeout counts, these are the pitchers to watch tonight.