Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/13/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Props Pick #1: Anthony DeSclafani o3.5 Strikeouts (-130) Fanduel
Our first pick is Anthony DeSclafani from the San Francisco Giants. He boasts a 20% strikeout rate and is set to face the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight, a team with a matching 20% average strikeout rate. DeSclafani, on average, strikes out 4.71 batters per start and has a projected 5.4 strikeouts. Given his record, he’s likely to surpass his 3.5 line at -130 odds.
Best MLB Props Pick #2: Bryce Elder o4.5 Strikeouts (+112) Fanduel
Switching gears to our second pick, we have Bryce Elder from the Atlanta Braves. Elder sports a 24% strikeout rate and is up against the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. Interestingly, the Blue Jays have a 23% average strikeout rate. Elder averages 5.14 strikeouts per start and projects to 6.8 strikeouts. Considering these stats, it’s quite feasible he will exceed his 4.5 line at 112 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
You might wonder how we calculate potential strikeouts. First, we analyze the batting order, then estimate potential plate appearances based on the typical duration a pitcher stays in the game. Next, we multiply the expected plate appearances by each batter’s seasonal strikeout percentage. This gives us the potential strikeouts for each batter. Finally, adding these up, we arrive at the total potential strikeouts for the pitcher in the game. Thus, we can make an accurate estimate of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
To sum up, tonight’s MLB games feature Anthony DeSclafani and Bryce Elder as promising picks for strikeout prop bets. DeSclafani, with a 20% strikeout rate, faces the Diamondbacks with a similar 20% strikeout rate. Given these figures, it’s probable that DeSclafani will cross his 3.5 line at -130 odds. On the other hand, Elder, who is up against the Blue Jays with a 23% strikeout rate, is also expected to exceed his 4.5 line at 112 odds. So, for those looking for high strikeout counts, these pitchers are ones to watch in tonight’s games.