Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 5/1/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Ross Stripling o3.5 Strikeouts (-118) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Ross Stripling from the San Francisco Giants. Sporting a 21% strikeout percentage, Stripling will face the Houston Astros, who have a 22% average strikeout rate. He averages 7.00 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 7.0 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -118 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Luke Weaver o4.5 Strikeouts (-146) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Luke Weaver from the Cincinnati Reds. Boasting a 35% strikeout percentage, Weaver will go against the San Diego Padres, who hold an average strikeout rate of 24%. Given that he averages 8.00 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 5.5 strikeouts, Weaver is likely to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at -146 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Ross Stripling and Luke Weaver stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Stripling’s 21% strikeout percentage, combined with the Astros’ 22% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 3.5 line at -118 odds. Similarly, Luke Weaver’s strong performance against the Padres’ lineup, which has a 24% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -146 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.