Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/30/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Ryne Nelson o3.5 Strikeouts (-104) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Ryne Nelson from the Arizona Diamondbacks. Sporting a 16% strikeout percentage, Nelson will face the Colorado Rockies, who have a 26% average strikeout rate. He averages 3.40 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 6.0 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -104 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Johan Oviedo o4.5 Strikeouts (-150) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Johan Oviedo from the Pittsburgh Pirates. Boasting a 25% strikeout percentage, Oviedo will go against the Washington Nationals, who hold an average strikeout rate of 17%. Given that he averages 5.80 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 4.3 strikeouts, Oviedo is likely to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at -150 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Ryne Nelson and Johan Oviedo stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Nelson’s 16% strikeout percentage, combined with the Rockies’ 26% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 3.5 line at -104 odds. Similarly, Johan Oviedo’s strong performance against the Nationals’ lineup, which has a 17% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -150 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.
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