Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/29/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Joe Musgrove o4.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Joe Musgrove from the San Diego Padres. Sporting a 29% strikeout percentage, Musgrove will face the San Francisco Giants, who have a 30% average strikeout rate. He averages 6.00 strikeouts per start and has a potential of 6.1 strikeouts. Consequently, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -158 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Nathan Eovaldi o5.5 Strikeouts (-118) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Nathan Eovaldi from the Texas Rangers. Boasting a 28% strikeout percentage, Eovaldi will go against the New York Yankees, who hold an average strikeout rate of 25%. Given that he averages 6.20 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 6.9 strikeouts, Eovaldi is likely to surpass the over on his 5.5 line at -118 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
In order to calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. Next, we multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
In conclusion, Joe Musgrove and Nathan Eovaldi stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Musgrove’s impressive 29% strikeout percentage, combined with the Giants’ 30% average strikeout rate, make it likely for him to reach the over on his 4.5 line at -158 odds. Similarly, Nathan Eovaldi’s strong performance against the Yankees’ lineup, which has a 25% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 5.5 line at -118 odds. Keep an eye on these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.