Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/28/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Marcus Stroman o4.5 Strikeouts (-150) Fanduel
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Marcus Stroman from the Chicago Cubs. With a 29% strikeout percentage, Stroman will face the Miami Marlins, who hold a 25% average strikeout rate. Averaging 6.00 strikeouts per start and a potential of 6.1 strikeouts, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at -150 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Wade Miley o3.5 Strikeouts (-158) Fanduel
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Wade Miley from the Milwaukee Brewers. With a 20% strikeout percentage, Miley will go against the Los Angeles Angels, who have an average strikeout rate of 23%. As he averages 4.25 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 5.5 strikeouts, Miley is likely to surpass the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Marcus Stroman and Wade Miley stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Stroman’s impressive 29% strikeout percentage and the Marlins’ 25% average strikeout rate make it likely for him to reach the over on his 4.5 line at -150 odds. Similarly, Wade Miley’s strong performance against the Angels’ lineup, with a 23% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -158 odds. Watch these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.