Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/26/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Tyler Wells o3.5 Strikeouts (-160)
First on our list for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Tyler Wells from the Baltimore Orioles. With a 20% strikeout percentage, Wells will face the Boston Red Sox, who hold a 21% average strikeout rate. Averaging 5.33 strikeouts per start and a potential of 6.8 strikeouts, he’s well-suited to exceed the over on his 3.5 line at -160 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Tanner Houck o4.5 Strikeouts (+108)
Our second choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets is Tanner Houck from the Boston Red Sox. With a remarkable 29% strikeout percentage, Houck will go against the Baltimore Orioles, who have an average strikeout rate of 24%. As he averages 5.50 strikeouts per start and has a potential for 5.9 strikeouts, Houck is likely to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at +108 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Tyler Wells and Tanner Houck stand out as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Wells’ solid 20% strikeout percentage and the Red Sox’s 21% average strikeout rate make it likely for him to reach the over on his 3.5 line at -160 odds. Similarly, Tanner Houck’s strong performance against the Orioles’ lineup, with a 24% average strikeout rate, positions him well to exceed the over on his 4.5 line at +108 odds. Watch these talented pitchers as they aim for outstanding strikeout performances tonight.