Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/24/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Lance Lynn o5.5 Strikeouts (-150)
Lance Lynn of the Chicago White Sox is our first top pick for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets. With a strikeout percentage of 31%, he’s facing the Toronto Blue Jays, who have an average strikeout rate of 23%. Lynn averages 7.0 strikeouts per start and has the potential for 6.2 strikeouts, making him likely to exceed the over on his 5.5 line at -150 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Brad Keller o3.5 Strikeouts (-112)
Brad Keller of the Kansas City Royals is another top choice for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop bets. Keller has a 25% strikeout percentage and is up against the Arizona Diamondbacks, a team with a 20% average strikeout rate. Averaging 4.50 strikeouts per start and with the potential for 4.5 strikeouts, Keller is well-positioned to hit the over on his 3.5 line at -112 odds.
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Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Conclusion
Lance Lynn and Brad Keller emerge as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Lynn’s impressive 31% strikeout percentage, combined with the Blue Jays’ 23% average strikeout rate, positions him well to hit the over on his 5.5 line at -150 odds. Likewise, Brad Keller’s solid performance against the Diamondbacks’ lineup, with a 20% average strikeout rate, makes him likely to surpass the over on his 3.5 line at -112 odds. Keep an eye on these skilled pitchers as they aim to deliver outstanding strikeout performances tonight.
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