Data is king and we’ve identified the Best MLB Player Props 4/22/23. Let’s dive in.
Best MLB Player Props #1: Logan Webb o4.5 Strikeouts (-116)
Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants is our top pick for the MLB strikeout prop tonight. With a 30% strikeout percentage, he’s facing the New York Mets, who have an 18% average strikeout rate. Averaging 7.00 strikeouts per start and with the potential for 5.4 strikeouts, Webb is well-positioned to hit the over on his 4.5 line at -116 odds.
Best MLB Player Props #2: Merrill Kelly o4.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Merrill Kelly from the Arizona Diamondbacks is another top pick for tonight’s MLB strikeout prop. Holding a 25% strikeout percentage, he’s up against the San Diego Padres, a team with a 25% average strikeout rate. Averaging 4.50 strikeouts per start and with the potential for 5.5 strikeouts, Kelly is a strong candidate to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at -120 odds.
Calculating Potential Strikeouts
To calculate potential strikeouts, we analyze the batting order, determining potential plate appearances while considering the pitcher’s usual game duration. We multiply expected plate appearances by each batter’s strikeout percentage for the season. Finally, we sum up the potential strikeouts for the entire batting order to obtain the pitcher’s total potential strikeouts for the game. This method allows for a more precise estimation of a pitcher’s strikeout potential against a specific lineup.
Logan Webb and Merrill Kelly emerge as top MLB strikeout prop picks tonight. Webb’s impressive strikeout percentage, combined with the Mets’ low average strikeout rate, positions him well to hit the over on his 4.5 line at -116 odds. Likewise, Merrill Kelly’s strong performance against the Padres’ lineup, with a 25% average strikeout rate, makes him likely to surpass the over on his 4.5 line at -120 odds. Keep an eye on these skilled pitchers as they aim to deliver outstanding strikeout performances tonight.